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What are the factors that affect the historical vs implied volatility of digital currencies?

avatarMcNally SheppardDec 16, 2021 · 3 years ago3 answers

Can you explain the factors that contribute to the difference between historical and implied volatility in the context of digital currencies? What are the main drivers behind these two types of volatility?

What are the factors that affect the historical vs implied volatility of digital currencies?

3 answers

  • avatarDec 16, 2021 · 3 years ago
    Historical volatility is a measure of the actual price fluctuations of a digital currency over a specific period, while implied volatility is a market's expectation of future price fluctuations. The factors that affect historical volatility include market demand, news events, regulatory changes, and overall market sentiment. On the other hand, implied volatility is influenced by options pricing models, supply and demand dynamics of options contracts, and market participants' expectations of future price movements. Both types of volatility can be affected by factors such as market liquidity, investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and technological developments in the digital currency space. It's important to note that historical and implied volatility can often diverge, as implied volatility reflects market expectations and can be influenced by factors beyond historical price movements.
  • avatarDec 16, 2021 · 3 years ago
    When it comes to historical vs implied volatility of digital currencies, there are several key factors to consider. Historical volatility is influenced by factors such as trading volume, market liquidity, and overall market sentiment. It reflects the actual price movements of a digital currency over a specific period. On the other hand, implied volatility is derived from options pricing models and reflects the market's expectation of future price fluctuations. It can be influenced by factors such as market demand for options contracts, supply and demand dynamics, and market participants' expectations of future price movements. Both historical and implied volatility can be affected by factors such as regulatory changes, news events, investor sentiment, and technological advancements. It's important for traders and investors to understand the drivers behind these two types of volatility in order to make informed decisions in the digital currency market.
  • avatarDec 16, 2021 · 3 years ago
    Historical and implied volatility are two important concepts in the world of digital currencies. Historical volatility measures the past price fluctuations of a digital currency, while implied volatility reflects the market's expectation of future price movements. The factors that affect historical volatility include market demand, trading volume, news events, and overall market sentiment. Implied volatility, on the other hand, is influenced by options pricing models, supply and demand dynamics of options contracts, and market participants' expectations of future price movements. Both types of volatility can be influenced by factors such as regulatory changes, investor sentiment, and technological advancements. It's worth noting that historical and implied volatility can sometimes diverge, as implied volatility takes into account market expectations and can be influenced by factors beyond historical price movements. Understanding these factors is crucial for traders and investors looking to navigate the digital currency market effectively.